AFM managing director Jonathan Wolf on Sunday sat down mid-market for a candid interview with The Hollywood Reporter holding forth about market dynamics and streamers as he sipped coffee in a green room at the Fairmont Miramar Hotel while a panel for producers took place in an adjacent ballroom.
"Sales happen best face to face" he said. "Markets create a sense of urgency. Markets create an auction environment." If that sounds like the same wisdom one would find in a souk so be it: Wolf disclosed that his team studies the Consumer Electronics Show the National Association of Broadcasters conference and even furniture trade shows for tips.
"The goal" he added "is to drive up prices." Wolfโs organization โ the Independent Film & Television Alliance of which he is also executive vp โ represents sellers: independent production and distribution companies. "The sales company says โOur goal is to sell and sell out while weโre here.'"
That urgency also helps Wolfโs members package projects by creating a deadline that "drives talent to the table" when a producer is trying to get them to commit to a movie. "The market creates a true deadline" he explained. But if a producerโs job has always been hard โ which is a much more apt truism than the popular "meetings by the hotel pool" image โ itโs harder still today and Wolf didnโt mince words as he assigned blame.
"Netflix is wonderful for directors writers actors and cinematographers [but it] is destroying the entrepreneurial producer" he said "who historically would have had a back end."
The streamer Wolf said โis following a 1940s studio model: Everyone is work for hire [and] no one has any participationโ or upside on the back end. And on the consumer side he added Netflix isnโt selling movies at all: โTheyโre selling subscriptions which is a different thingโ since all the streamer needs are just enough content in various categories that it becomes a must-have for any given subscriber.
Where is all this going? Wolf offered that today the market is bifurcating. "The budgets are getting bigger or the budgets are getting smaller [while] the middle ground" โ which he defined as $2 million to $8 million pictures โ "is disappearing." But he had no predictions for next yearโs AFM other than that "the films will be different and thatโs always exciting."
Still we can rest assured that there will be an AFM next year which Wolf and his team will start planning as soon as this yearโs market concludes. After all he said โweโre still a species that wants to connect face to face.โ